America's Health Insurance Plans engaged PricewaterhouseCoopers to examine the impact of four components of the health reform bill being proposed by the Senate Finance Committee. The report, on behalf of the insurers, will assert that under four of the provisions of the senate finance bill, health premiums will rise faster than they would under the current system.
According to the PricewaterhouseCoopers report, there are four provisions included in the Senate Finance Committee proposal that could increase private health insurance premiums above the levels projected under current law:
o Insurance market reforms coupled with a weak coverage requirement,
o A new tax on high-cost health care plans,
o Cost-shifting as a result of cuts to Medicare, and
o New taxes on several health care sectors.
The flaw in this analysis results from the failure to consider the impact of each of the four provisions independently. For example, the 'weak coverage requirement' of the senate bill alone is identified as promoting adverse selection for the health plans. This is the basis of much of the bill's impact upon premium. The report fails to project the impact upon premium should this 'weakness' be eliminated.
Additionally, the report is limited in that it examined just the four provisions considered likely to increase costs. No consideration is given to the beneficial effect on premiums of other provisions of the bill such as health exchanges or the public option (not contained in the senate bill) that would likely result in premium reduction.